This year has become a real challenge for the global economy. For the first time in more than 70 years, the economy fell into its deepest recession. However, recovery is set to begin in 2021, economists at IHS Markit said.
Experts are confident that successful vaccination against COVID-19 will contribute to economic growth, which could reach 4.5%. Economists explain their forecast by the fact that after the vaccination, travel and services will become a source of profit. Thanks to this, economic indicators will rise significantly in the second half of 2021.
Global GDP has lost 4% this year, however, it may grow by 4.5% in 2021, reaching a new high, experts are sure.
Experts also noted that the economies of different countries would recover unevenly. For example, China's economy revived in the spring of 2020, while European countries could reach pre-crisis levels only in 2023.
In addition, in 2021, the labor market situation may improve in many counties. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate is likely to increase in Western Europe amid cuts in government funding for employment support programs. Moreover, experts believe that in 2021, the attention of investors and authorities will switch from COVID-19 to the consequences of climate change. Perhaps the trend of environmentally and socially responsible investment may continue.
美國市場顯示出不穩定的跡象。關於中美貿易衝突可能降溫的積極信號帶來了希望,但專家警告不要過於樂觀。
隨著對經濟增長放緩及貿易關稅影響的擔憂加劇,S&P 500和Nasdaq 100指數持續下滑。市場持續波動,投資者在不確定性加劇的環境中調整策略。
S&P 500 和 Nasdaq 再次下跌,此前唐納德·特朗普猛烈抨擊聯邦儲備系統。他的評論對央行的獨立性提出了質疑,加劇了市場對通脹的擔憂。
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