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20.02.2022 11:22 AM
对上半年的看法。风险资产预测

由于货币政策框架的不确定性,我们应该为上半年风险资产的波动做好准备,然后在下半年为股票收益做好准备。

一些专家认为,市场将适应加息,但由于货币刺激措施的退出,量化紧缩将需要更多时间。

截至 2020 年 12 月,GIAM 拥有 4700 亿欧元(5340 亿美元)的资产。

预计下半年央行的行动将趋于稳定。

从这个角度来看,资产管理公司认为值得购买价值股(能源、银行、将受益于疫情后经济反弹的股票等)以及长期债券,因为这类资产的收益率正在上升好吧。

但是,您需要小心并彻底检查市场,因为波动性增加会给高收益和投资级债务的利差带来压力。

宏利投资管理公司联席首席投资策略师凯文黑德兰表示,重要的是要考虑到各国央行不是"为了应对经济过热或通胀失控而从'正常'水平加息"。

根据 1 月 25 日至 26 日政策会议的纪要,美联储官员没有设定任何特定的加息步伐。

由于美国通胀预期非常高,预计美联储将通过加息周期来管理需求方面的风险。 专家认为,在这种情况下,央行加息的速度将比以前快得多。

Anastasia Miller,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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