Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson warns that the recent rally is false.
Wilson predicts the approaching crash of 2022, which earned him first place in last year's Institutional Investor survey and remains one of the most bearish voices in the market, even though the S&P has grown by 9% in 2023. At the moment, he sees too many worrying triggers to believe that profits will be sustained.
Wilson is confident that this is not a breakthrough confirming a new bull market. In particular, he sees risks in overvalued valuations, a narrow range of profit-generating stocks, and the outperformance of defensive stocks.
One of the risks of increased volatility for the market is the ongoing debates in Washington over raising the US debt ceiling. Wilson said that the decision at the negotiations may temporarily push stocks up, but "we will consider it a false breakthrough/bull trap."
Other JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists also warn of greater market volatility as negotiations drag on. President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy are scheduled to meet today.
市場對任何利好消息的敏感度正在增加,但其最佳時期已經過去。以美國股票占MSCI所有國家世界指數的百分比來看,其價值在十二月份達到峰值。
美國總統唐納·川普表示,在任何貿易談判中,他計劃對中國保持非常「禮貌」的態度,並且如果兩國能達成協議,關稅將會降低。此言論後,美國美元兌多數主要貨幣驟然上漲。
週四預計只有少數宏觀經濟事件發布,但昨天的發展已經顯示出市場開始忽視大部分的數據發布。只有少數報告能夠被幸運地納入市場定價。
週三,英鎊/美元貨幣對成功避免了大幅下跌,儘管在此之前,看起來似乎已經開始下跌趨勢。但市場迅速反彈,認識到基本背景並沒有發生改變。
Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.
If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.
Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?
Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.
We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.