日圓持續受到美金壓力,今天美元兌日元(USD/JPY)對準 156.00 水平。
由於美國總統川普重申將加徵關稅的意圖,可能引發美國新的通膨壓力,日圓對美元的下行壓力持續。這進而支持美國國庫券收益的小幅回升,降低低收益日圓的吸引力,增加對美元的需求。
追蹤美元相對一籃子貨幣表現的美國美元指數(DXY)顯現出從其月低點的強勁反彈,該低點是自12月18日以來的最低水平,這為USD/JPY批提供了額外推力。
然而,有關日本央行(BoJ)和美聯儲(Fed)貨幣政策的不同預期可能限制日圓的損失並限制美元的漲幅。市場參與者還需關注今天發布的美國宏觀經濟數據,這可能在今天開始的為期兩天的 FOMC 會議之前提供額外的動力。
昨日持續在多月上升趨勢通道支撐下方的突破被視為空頭的關鍵誘因。然而,日圖上的振盪器信號混亂,提醒買賣雙方在開立新方向頭寸時應謹慎行事。
另一方面,155.00 的心理關口作為立即支撐,之前還有 154.45 的水平區域,恰好是今天的開盤水準,以及 154.00 的整數位。持續跌破這些水平將確認短期看空展望,可能將 USD/JPY 兌中介支撐位推至 153.30,然後到下個關鍵水平 153.00。
需關注的關鍵阻力水平包括 156.00 及進一步上升目標,這取決於更廣泛的風險情緒以及即將發佈的美國經濟報告和美聯儲通信的結果。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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