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17.03.2025 12:35 PM
美元/日元:分析與預測
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隨著全球風險情緒因中國週末公佈的新刺激措施得到改善,日圓在面對美元時持續處於防守狀態,這削弱了對日圓等避險資產的需求。然而,市場對日本央行(BoJ)加息的預期上升,阻止了做空者採取激進的行動。

持續的關注焦點仍在於前美國總統唐納·川普所實施的關稅對經濟的潛在影響,加上地緣政治風險,這也有助於限制日圓的進一步損失。

本週應謹慎對待即將到來的重要經濟事件,包括日本央行的貨幣政策決定和週三的FOMC會議。這些因素為近期美元兌日圓從其多月低點的復甦進程增添了不確定性。

技術前景

從技術角度看,未能突破149.00以及日線圖上的負面振盪指標維持了看跌前景。然而,如果該貨幣對能夠越過這一水平並突破上週在149.20附近的高點,則可能引發空頭回補反彈,推動美元兌日圓向150.00的心理水平前進,其上方潛力可達到150.60至150.70區間,並最終接近於151.30的月高點。

另一方面,148.25可能成為初步支撐,然後可能下跌至148.00標記以下。若跌破147.70,該貨幣對可能面臨進一步損失,向147.00水平靠攏,潛在延伸至146.50水平或月低點。跌破此水平將構成一個看跌信號,打開更進一步下行的空間,尤其考慮到日線振盪指標的負面數據。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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