empty
25.03.2025 07:09 PM
USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The USD/JPY pair is retreating from the psychological level of 151.00, reached earlier on Tuesday, though this pullback is not accompanied by significant selling pressure. The Japanese yen is attracting buyers amid hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan, despite disappointing PMI data from Japan.

According to the minutes of the Bank of Japan's January meeting, the need for further monetary tightening remains if positive economic prospects continue. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized that the goal is to achieve stable prices and that the bank is ready to adjust its policy if inflation reaches the 2% target. This fuels expectations that rising wages will impact inflation, supporting the case for higher interest rates.

However, hopes for less damaging U.S. trade tariffs, a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and stimulus measures in China are holding traders back from aggressively betting on a stronger yen. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar maintains its strength, supported by positive PMI data from the U.S., which also helps keep the USD/JPY pair elevated.

This image is no longer relevant

From a technical perspective, the breakout above the 150.00 level — coinciding with the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart — is seen as an important bullish signal.

This image is no longer relevant

A positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart supports the outlook for further gains. Pullbacks are likely to be viewed as buying opportunities, remaining limited by the psychological support at 150.00. However, a break below this level could open the path to support zones at 149.30–149.25 and lower. Failure to defend the 148.60 level would shift the short-term bias in favor of the bears.

If bullish traders can hold above 151.00, this may lead to a test of the monthly high around 151.30, followed by a move toward the 200-day SMA near 151.75, and then to the psychological level of 152.00. The rally could extend to intermediate resistance at 152.30 en route to the round level of 153.00.

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

The Dollar and Stock Market Crash Continues (AUD/USD May Keep Rising While USD/JPY Declines Further)

While Europe and parts of Asia continue celebrating Easter and political life has temporarily paused, in the U.S., the "Make America Great Again" trend set by Donald Trump continues

Pati Gani 09:04 2025-04-21 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on April 21? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

No macroeconomic events are scheduled for Monday—not in the U.S., the Eurozone, Germany, or the U.K. Therefore, even if the market was paying attention to the macroeconomic backdrop, today, there

Paolo Greco 06:30 2025-04-21 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – April 21: The Inertial Growth Continues

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Friday. If we had seen such price action away from peak levels, there would have been no questions. In essence

Paolo Greco 04:01 2025-04-21 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – April 21: The Market Sleeps, Only Trump Can Wake It Up

On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair made no notable movements whatsoever. This was unsurprising, as Friday marked Good Friday, and Sunday was Easter. Many banks and trading venues were closed

Paolo Greco 04:01 2025-04-21 UTC+2

US Dollar: Weekly Preview

Is there light at the end of the tunnel? The US dollar will again try to answer that question in the new week. To briefly recap: over the past

Chin Zhao 01:01 2025-04-21 UTC+2

British Pound: Weekly Preview

Several fairly interesting reports were released in the UK, but they almost did not impact market participants' actions. Demand for the British pound increased on all five days except

Chin Zhao 01:01 2025-04-21 UTC+2

Euro: Weekly Preview

There were very few changes regarding the euro last week. We observed horizontal movement for most of the week, which naturally did not affect the current wave markup. I want

Chin Zhao 01:00 2025-04-21 UTC+2

Trump targets Powell

Yesterday, US President Donald Trump stated that he could dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, casting doubt on the idea of central bank independence. He also expressed frustration that policymakers

Jakub Novak 14:42 2025-04-18 UTC+2

EU increases pressure on US

The entire world is now watching the ongoing negotiations between the US and its key trading partners. Despite President Trump's loud claims that the talks are going well, there

Jakub Novak 14:04 2025-04-18 UTC+2

The Market Taken Hostage

Will the White House cross the Rubicon by initiating the dismissal of Jerome Powell from his position as Chair of the Federal Reserve? That would deal another blow to financial

Marek Petkovich 09:16 2025-04-18 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.